Official election results released; New Zealand First the Kingmaker

Official election results released; New Zealand First the Kingmaker

The Electoral Commission has released the official results for the general election. Parliament will have the following composition:

National    ACT  NZF Labour    Greens   TPM    Total   
Seats 48* 11 8 34 15 6 122*

*due the death of a candidate during the campaign period, a by-election will be held for the seat of Port Waikato on 25 November. This is expected to be won by National, and will increase National’s tally to 49, the total number of seats in Parliament to 123 – the seats required for a majority will remain at 62.

Two ‘overhang’ seats were created due to Te Pāti Māori winning additional electorate seats beyond what their party vote entitled them to (compared to one overhang seat on the preliminary results), increasing the size of Parliament to 122.

What happens next?

National and ACT had 61 of 121 seats in the preliminary results, a one seat majority.

The official results give them 59 of 122 seats, meaning they are not able to form a majority without support from New Zealand First.

National, ACT, and New Zealand First have already been in informal talks ahead of the official results, but have had to wait on the official results to know the balance of power. Negotiations can now begin in earnest. Incoming Prime Minister Chris Luxon and New Zealand First Leader Winston Peters have both indicated they want to reach an agreement rapidly next week.

International engagements, including the Pacific Island Forum on 6-10 November and the APEC Leaders’ meeting on 11-17 November, have been noted by Luxon and Peters as reasons to swear in the new government quickly.

National also has an extensive 100-Day Plan, which includes passing several pieces of legislation through all stages, introducing others into Parliament, and repealing laws from the previous government. To achieve this, the new government will need Parliament to sit for as much time before Christmas as possible – the earliest Parliament may be opened is 10 November.

Until the new government is agreed and formally sworn in, the outgoing government remains in office in a ‘caretaker’ role.

Shifts from the Preliminary results

The official results include 567,000 special and overseas votes that were not included in the preliminary results. These represent one in five votes and tend to skew to the left, compared to ordinary votes. This can be seen in the changes between the preliminary and official results:

Change in total seats: determined by share of the party vote, and any ‘overhang’ seats where a party wins more electorates than its seat entitlement under the party vote.

National ACT NZF Labour Greens TPM Total
Seats -2 0 0 0 +1 +2** +1**

** TPM’s six electorate victories give it more seats than its entitlement under the party vote of four, this increases the total number of seats in Parliament to 122.

Change in electorate winners: with the exception of overhangs, change in electorate winners does not affect parties’ seat count but can affect the specific MPs elected:

Preliminary result Official results
Nelson National: Blair Cameron Labour: Rachel Boyack
Te Atatu National: Angee Nicholas Labour: Phil Twyford
Tāmaki Makaurau Labour: Penni Henare Te Pāti Māori: Takutai Tarsh Kemp
Te Tai Tokerau Labour: Kelvin Davis Te Pāti Māori: Mariameno Kapa-Kingi

Takutai Tarsh Kemp won Tāmaki Makaurau by just four votes and Labour’s Helen White held Mt Albert by just 20 votes, raising the possibility of recounts in both seats. 

List of MPs by party

ACT New Zealand
CAMERON, Mark List Seat
CHHOUR, Karen   List Seat
COURT, Simon List Seat
HOGGARD, Andrew John List Seat
LUXTON, Cameron List Seat
McKEE, Nicole List Seat
PARMAR, Parmjeet List Seat
SEYMOUR, David Breen Epsom Electorate
STEPHENSON, Todd List Seat
TRASK, Laura List Seat
van VELDEN, Brooke Tāmaki Electorate


Green Party
ABEL, Steve List Seat
CARTER, Kahurangi List Seat
COLLINS, Fa’anānā Efeso List Seat
DAVIDSON, Marama List Seat
GENTER, Julie Anne Rongotai Electorate 
GHAHRAMAN, Golriz List Seat
LYNDON, Hūhana List Seat
MENENDEZ MARCH, Ricardo List Seat
PAUL, Tamatha Wellington Central Electorate
PHAM, Lan List Seat 
SHAW, James List Seat
SWARBRICK, Chlöe Auckland Central Electorate
TANA, Darleen List Seat
TUIONO, Teanau List Seat
WILLIS, Scott List Seat


Labour Party
ANDERSEN, Ginny List Seat
BOYACK, Rachel Elizabeth Nelson Electorate
BROOKING, Rachel Dunedin Electorate 
DAVIDSON, Reuben Christchurch East Electorate 
DAVIS, Kelvin List Seat
EDMONDS, Barbara Mana Electorate
HENARE, Peeni List Seat
HIPKINS, Chris Remutaka Electorate
JACKSON, Willie List Seat
LEARY, Ingrid Taieri Electorate
LITTLE, Andrew List Seat
LUXTON, Jo List Seat
McANULTY, Kieran List Seat
O’CONNOR, Damien List Seat
O’CONNOR, Greg Ōhāriu Electorate
PARKER, David List Seat
PRIME, Willow-Jean List Seat
RADHAKRISHNAN, Priyanca List Seat
RURAWHE, Adrian List Seat
RUSSELL, Deborah List Seat
SALESA, Jenny Panmure-Ōtāhuhu Electorate
SEPULONI, Carmel Kelston Electorate
SOSENE, Lemauga Lydia Māngere Electorate
TANGAERE-MANUEL, Cushla Ikaroa-Rāwhiti Electorate
TINETTI, Jan List Seat
TIRIKATENE, Rino List Seat
TWYFORD, Phil Te Atatū Electorate
UTIKERE, Tangi Palmerston North Electorate
VERRALL, Ayesha List Seat
WEBB, Duncan Christchurch Central Electorate
WHITE, Helen Mt Albert Electorate
WILLIAMS, Arena Manurewa Electorate
WOODS, Megan Wigram Electorate


National Party
ANDERSON, Miles Waitaki Electorate
BATES, Carl Whanganui Electorate
BAYLY, Andrew (poll cancelled) List Seat
BIDOIS, Dan Northcote Electorate
BISHOP, Chris Hutt South Electorate
BREWER, Cameron Upper Harbour Electorate
BROWN, Simeon Pakuranga Electorate
BROWNLEE, Gerry List Seat
BUTTERICK, Mike Wairarapa Electorate
CAMPBELL, Hamish Ilam Electorate
CHEUNG, Carlos Mt Roskill Electorate
COLLINS, Judith Papakura Electorate
COSTLEY, Tim Ōtaki Electorate
DOOCEY, Matt Waimakariri Electorate
FLEMING, Greg Maungakiekie Electorate
GARCIA, Paulo New Lynn Electorate
GOLDSMITH, Paul List Seat
GRIGG, Nicola Selwyn Electorate
HAMILTON, Ryan Hamilton East Electorate
KIRKPATRICK, Dana East Coast Electorate
KURIGER, Barbara Taranaki-King Country Electorate
LEE, Melissa List Seat
LUXON, Christopher Botany Electorate
McCALLUM, Grant Northland Electorate
McCLAY, Todd Rotorua Electorate
MACLEOD, David New Plymouth Electorate
MEAGER, James Rangitata Electorate
MITCHELL, Mark Whangaparāoa Electorate
MOONEY, Joseph Southland Electorate
NAKHLE, Rima Takanini Electorate
NIMON, Katie Napier Electorate
PENK, Chris Kaipara ki Mahurangi Electorate
POTAKA, Tama William Hamilton West Electorate
PUGH, Maureen West Coast-Tasman Electorate
REDMAYNE, Suze Rangitikei Electorate
RETI, Shane Whangārei Electorate
RUTHERFORD, Tom Bay of Plenty Electorate
SIMMONDS, Penny Invercargill Electorate
SIMPSON, Scott Coromandel Electorate
SMITH, Stuart Kaikōura Electorate
STANFORD, Erica East Coast Bays Electorate
UFFINDELL, Sam Tauranga Electorate
UPSTON, Louise Taupō Electorate
VAN DE MOLEN, Tim Waikato Electorate
WATTS, Simon North Shore Electorate
WEDD, Catherine Tukituki Electorate
WEENINK, Vanessa Banks Peninsula Electorate
WILLIS, Nicola List Seat


New Zealand First Party
ARBUCKLE, Jamie Arthur List Seat
COSTELLO, Casey List Seat
FOSTER, Andy List Seat
JONES, Shane Geoffrey List Seat
MARCROFT, Jenny List Seat
PATTERSON, Mark List Seat
PETERS, Winston List Seat
UNKOVICH, Tanya Marie List Seat


Te Pāti Māori
FERRIS, Tākuta Te Tai Tonga Electorate
KAPA-KINGI, Mariameno Te Tai Tokerau Electorate
KEMP, Takutai Tarsh Tāmaki Makaurau Electorate
MAIPI-CLARKE, Hana-Rawhiti Hauraki-Waikato Electorate
NGAREWA-PACKER, Debbie Te Tai Hauāuru Electorate
WAITITI, Rawiri Waiariki Electorate